So, what happens when you borrow in backwardation? Well, the rule is simple—you lose money. Why? Because in a backwardation curve, the nearby price is higher than the future price. That’s just how the market moves! Let’s break it down: If you borrow to postpone a short, say from April to May, April’s price is […]
In our previous discussion, we explored the concept of borrowing carry trades to anticipate long positions. Let’s dive deeper into how borrowing works in a contango market and why it often leads to profit. Borrowing and Long Positions in Contango Imagine this scenario: we’re holding a long position for April but need to shift it […]
The year 2025 has only just begun and it’s already been coined as “the year of AI Agents” on LinkedIn. Many new startups popped out of the ground, promising to deploy autonomous agents to make smart technological and business decisions. For aluminium manufacturing this translates to having autonomous agents that integrate with control systems and […]
Aluminium foil originated from the brilliant minds of Swiss inventors Dr. Lauber, Neher, and Cie in the early 20th century. During the first half of the century, its usage rapidly increased, particularly during the war, where it played a significant role in food preservation. With its versatility, various industries soon discovered innovative ways to implement […]
In our last discussion, we explored how borrowing is used to postpone a short position, with an example of buying April and selling June. When the market was in contango, we earned profits, and during backwardation, the strategy still worked in our favor. But when the conditions were unfavorable, we faced losses. Today, let’s shift […]
In our previous session, we explored how borrowing works in a contango market. Let’s quickly recap and then shift our focus to backwardation. Contango Recap: In a contango scenario, the price of a future contract for a later date is higher than the price for a nearer date. Here’s how it works: Borrowing in Contango: […]
In trading, understanding the concept of borrowing and its connection to contango can open doors to significant profit opportunities. Let’s break it down. What is Borrowing? Borrowing involves buying a commodity or asset for a near-term date and selling it for a further date. For instance, if you’re short in April and want to move […]
In the tapestry of modern life, aluminium is a silent metal warrior. It has the potential to weave through many parts of our daily life. This is possible for such a metal as it can blend resilience and versatility like no other metal. The application of aluminium in our daily lives is conceivable because of […]
Carry trades are a key strategy in commodity trading, and today, we’re diving into the concept of borrowing. Let’s break it down with an example. Imagine you’re a speculator, and you’ve taken a short position for April. Now, you realize you need to move this position to June. Can you just call your broker and […]
As we step into 2025, let’s explore a fascinating shift in the aluminium market: how a typical contango can transform into backwardation. Contango in Aluminium: In a normal aluminium market, the three-month price is historically higher than the cash price—a classic contango. This reflects costs like storage, insurance, and interest. However, this equilibrium can shift […]